{"id":20886,"date":"2025-09-24T20:10:58","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T12:10:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ma.xqsz.net\/?p=20886"},"modified":"2025-09-24T20:10:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T12:10:58","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e9%83%a1%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%89%80%e5%8f%91%e5%b8%83%e3%80%8a2025%e5%bc%ba%e5%8e%bf%e5%af%8c%e6%b0%91%e4%b8%80%e4%bd%93%e5%8f%91%e5%b1%95%e4%b8%93%e9%a2%98%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%8a%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ma.xqsz.net\/index.php\/2025\/09\/24\/20886\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u90e1\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u53d1\u5e03\u300a2025\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u4e13\u9898\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u300b"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u90e1\u53bf\u6cbb\uff0c\u5929\u4e0b\u5b89\u3002<\/p>\n

\u90e1\u53bf\u5bcc\u5f3a\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7e41\u8363\u660c\u76db\u3001\u4eba\u6c11\u5e78\u798f\u5b89\u5eb7\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e749\u670817\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u90e1\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5b8c\u6210\u5e76\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u300a2025\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u4e13\u9898\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u300b\uff0c\u5e76\u516c\u5e03\u4e862025\u5168\u56fd\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u540d\u5355\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300a\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u4f9d\u636e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u79c9\u627f\u201c\u516c\u5f00\u3001\u5ba2\u89c2\u3001\u53ef\u6bd4\u201d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u4f9d\u6258\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\u6df1\u5165\u5206\u6790\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u73b0\u72b6\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u63a8\u8fdb\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u63d0\u4f9b\u5750\u6807\u8d44\u8baf\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u52a8\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n

2024\u5e7412\u6708\u4e2d\u592e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f1a\u8bae\u548c2025\u5e743\u6708\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u653f\u5e9c\u5de5\u4f5c\u62a5\u544a\u5747\u660e\u786e\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u56e0\u5730\u5236\u5b9c\u63a8\u52a8\u5174\u4e1a\u3001\u5f3a\u53bf\u3001\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2012\u5e7411\u6708\u201c\u5341\u516d\u5927\u201d\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u58ee\u5927\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5bf9\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u5177\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u4e0e\u6307\u5bfc\u6027\u7684\u65b0\u8868\u8ff0\uff0c\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u601d\u8def\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u63a8\u52a8\u53bf\u9645\u7ade\u4e89\u8fdb\u5165\u65b0\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u662f\u8df5\u884c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u6838\u5fc3\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u5728\u53bf\u57df\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u5b9e\u8df5\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4ee5\u4eba\u4e3a\u672c\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u201c\u6548\u7387\u201d\u548c\u201c\u516c\u5e73\u201d\u7684\u6709\u673a\u7edf\u4e00\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u53bf\u57df\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5185\u5728\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u533a\u57df\u548c\u57ce\u4e61\u534f\u8c03\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u5b9e\u73b0\u5171\u540c\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u5fc5\u7531\u4e4b\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5<\/p>\n

\u300a\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u57fa\u4e8e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u201c\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u201d\u548c\u201c\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u201d\u4e24\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u5185\u6db5\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4f53\u7cfb\uff1a\u4ee5\u201c\u5efa\u8bbe\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u3001\u63a8\u8fdb\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u201d\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ebf\uff0c\u4ee5\u201c\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11+\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u201d\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4ee5\u201c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u6307\u6807\u4f53\u7cfb\u201d\u548c\u201c\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5206\u6790\u5750\u6807\u4e0e\u56db\u8c61\u9650\u201d\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u201d\u8861\u91cf\u7814\u7a76\u201c\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u201d\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u9ad8\u5ea6\uff0c\u501f\u52a9\u201c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u79e9\u5dee\u201d\u548c\u201c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u5206\u6790\u201c\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u201d\u7684\u534f\u8c03\u6027\u548c\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u9ad8\u5ea6\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e00\u7ea7\u6307\u6570\uff1a\u5f3a\u53bf\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u3001\u5bcc\u6c11\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u548c\u5efa\u8bbe\u52a8\u80fd\u6307\u6570;\u4e0b\u8bbe\u516b\u4e2a\u4e8c\u7ea7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u6307\u6570\u3001\u53bf\u57df\u8d22\u653f\u5b9e\u529b\u6307\u6570\u3001\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u6307\u6570\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u51fa\u6c34\u5e73\u6307\u6570\u3001\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u51fa\u6c34\u5e73\u6307\u6570\u3001\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6307\u6570\u3001\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u652f\u7edf\u7b79\u6307\u6570\u548c\u5c45\u6c11\u589e\u6536\u8dd1\u8d62\u6307\u6570\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u79e9\u5dee\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u534f\u8c03\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e8f\u6570\u5dee\u8868\u5f81\u504f\u79bb\u5bf9\u89d2\u7ebf\u7684\u8ddd\u79bb\u3002\u4f9d\u636e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5206\u6790\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u79e9\u5dee\u7c7b\u578b\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u534f\u8c03\u7c7b\u578b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u9519\u4f4d\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u534f\u8c03\u7c7b\u578b\u5305\u62ec\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u534f\u8c03\u578b\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5148\u5bfc\u57fa\u672c\u534f\u8c03\u578b\u548c\u6c11\u751f\u5148\u5bfc\u57fa\u672c\u534f\u8c03\u578b;\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u9519\u4f4d\u7c7b\u578b\u5305\u62ec\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5148\u5bfc\u8f7b\u5ea6\u9519\u4f4d\u578b\u3001\u6c11\u751f\u5148\u5bfc\u8f7b\u5ea6\u9519\u4f4d\u578b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u4e25\u91cd\u9519\u4f4d\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u53bf\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u4f9d\u636e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5206\u6790\u56db\u8c61\u9650\uff0c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6c34\u5e73\u7c7b\u578b\u53ef\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u56db\u79cd\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u8c61\u9650\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u3001\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8c61\u9650\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u3001\u7b2c\u4e09\u8c61\u9650\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f4e\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u548c\u7b2c\u56db\u8c61\u9650\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f4e\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u57fa\u672c\u72b6\u51b5<\/p>\n

\u300a\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u5bf9\u5168\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u8d85\u8fc7500\u4ebf\u5143\u6216\u4e00\u822c\u516c\u5171\u9884\u7b97\u6536\u5165\u8d85\u8fc730\u4ebf\u5143\u7684\u6837\u672c\u53bf(\u6837\u672c\u5171\u8ba1284\u4e2a)\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u516c\u5f00\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f9d\u636e\u201c\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u6307\u6807\u4f53\u7cfb\u201d\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u6837\u672c\u53bf\u7684\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e3a77.44\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f3a\u53bf\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e3a78.05\uff0c\u5bcc\u6c11\u5efa\u8bbe\u6307\u6570\u4e3a76.55\uff0c\u5efa\u8bbe\u52a8\u80fd\u6307\u6570\u4e3a81.18\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u5448\u73b0\u201c\u52a8\u80fd\u8f83\u5f3a\u3001\u5bcc\u6c11\u5f85\u63d0\u901f\u201d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f9d\u636e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5206\u6790\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u5728\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u79e9\u5dee\u7c7b\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u534f\u8c03\u7c7b\u578b\u4e0e\u9519\u4f4d\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7ea6\u4e3a3\u22361(74.65% vs 25.35%)\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u534f\u8c03\u578b\u3001\u57fa\u672c\u534f\u8c03\u578b\u3001\u8f7b\u5ea6\u9519\u4f4d\u578b\u548c\u4e25\u91cd\u9519\u4f4d\u578b\u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u5206\u522b\u4e3a25.35%\u300149.30%\u300118.31%\u548c7.04%;\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5148\u5bfc\u4e0e\u6c11\u751f\u5148\u5bfc\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5206\u522b\u662f48.59%\u548c51.41%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f9d\u636e\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5206\u6790\u56db\u8c61\u9650\uff0c\u5728\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6c34\u5e73\u7c7b\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u8c61\u9650\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u536016.90%\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8c61\u9650\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u536013.73%\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u8c61\u9650\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f4e\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u536064.09%\uff0c\u7b2c\u56db\u8c61\u9650\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f4e\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u53605.28%\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u8c61\u9650\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4f4e\u4f4d\u6c11\u751f\u5efa\u8bbe\u578b\u5360\u6bd4(64.09%)\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u8f83\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n

Spearman\u79e9\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570(\u03c1)\u68c0\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f3a\u53bf\u4e0e\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173(\u4e1c\u90e8\u03c1=0.776\uff0c\u4e2d\u90e8\u03c1=0.741\uff0c\u897f\u90e8\u03c1=0.858)\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u534f\u8c03\u6027\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u4f46\u533a\u57df\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5148\u5bfc\u578b\u8f83\u591a\uff0c\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4ea6\u4ee5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5148\u5bfc\u578b\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u5219\u76f8\u5bf9\u5747\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

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2025\u5168\u56fd\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u5171\u670964\u4e2a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a53\u4e2a\u3001\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a6\u4e2a\u3001\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a5\u4e2a\uff0c\u5206\u5e03\u4e8e10\u4e2a\u7701\u533a\uff1a\u6d59\u6c5f20\u4e2a\uff0c\u6c5f\u82cf19\u4e2a\uff0c\u5c71\u4e1c8\u4e2a\uff0c\u798f\u5efa5\u4e2a\uff0c\u6e56\u53574\u4e2a\uff0c\u5185\u8499\u53e43\u4e2a\uff0c\u5b89\u5fbd2\u4e2a\uff0c\u6cb3\u5317\u3001\u5b81\u590f\u548c\u9655\u897f\u54041\u4e2a\u3002<\/p>\n

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2025\u5168\u56fd\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u5448\u73b0\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7279\u70b9\uff1a\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\uff0c\u534f\u8c03\u6027\u597d\uff0c\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff0c\u82cf\u6d59\u4e24\u7701\u9886\u8dd1\uff0c\u6606\u5c71\u5e02\u548c\u6c5f\u9634\u5e02\u4e24\u4e2a\u8d85\u7ea7\u5bcc\u5f3a\u53bf\u57df\u5efa\u8bbe\u53bf\u5e76\u5217\u51a0\u519b\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u5f15\u9886\u5168\u56fd\u5f3a\u53bf\u5bcc\u6c11\u4e00\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

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